Back to the episode map

Research Note

AI Product Moat Research Note

The moat framework tests whether an advantage survives model substitution, price compression, platform copying, employee departure, and a customer export request.

Aug 4, 20261 min readBy Dalton Anderson

AI Product Moat Research Note

The moat framework tests whether an advantage survives model substitution, price compression, platform copying, employee departure, and a customer export request.

Potential sources of durability include owned distribution, workflow ownership, lawful exclusive feedback, accumulated configuration or state, trust and approval, ecosystem complements, switching burden tied to real value, scale economics, and operational execution.

Each candidate needs an asset, evidence, compounding mechanism, copying path, dependency, and failure condition. "Proprietary data" is incomplete unless the product has the right to use it, the data improves a measured outcome, the improvement compounds, and a rival cannot obtain a substitute. "Integration" is incomplete unless repeated use creates durable workflow ownership or costly replacement.

Trust can be an advantage when it is backed by controls, audit evidence, reliability history, incident response, contractual accountability, and domain approval. A generic safety claim is not a moat.

Switching costs should not be praised automatically. Pain created by lock-in can attract regulation and customer resistance. The stronger form is accumulated value that a customer willingly renews and can still export under fair terms.

The output should be a defensibility statement that names the strongest evidence and the easiest credible attack.

Sources

Follow the evidence.

  1. NIST AI RMF Measure guidanceairc.nist.gov
  2. arxiv.org: 2406arxiv.org
  3. crfm.stanford.edu: indexcrfm.stanford.edu
  4. theinformation.com: openai ceo braces possible economic headwinds catching resurgent googletheinformation.com
  5. digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu: results study interoperability data processing servicesdigital-strategy.ec.europa.eu
  6. anthropic.com: anthropic amazon computeanthropic.com
  7. NIST AI Risk Management Frameworknist.gov
  8. openai.com: building the compute infrastructure for the intelligence ageopenai.com
  9. deepmind.google: geminideepmind.google
  10. anthropic.com: claude partner networkanthropic.com
  11. openai.com: announcing the stargate projectopenai.com
  12. openai.com: march funding updatesopenai.com
  13. anthropic.com: anthropic raises 30 billion series g funding 380 billion post money valuationanthropic.com
  14. cloud.google.com: gemini 3 is available for enterprisecloud.google.com
  15. openai.com: accelerating the next phase aiopenai.com
  16. doi.org: BF00055564doi.org
  17. gov.uk: cma announces package of actions on business software and cloud servicesgov.uk
  18. cloud.google.com: the new gemini enterprise one platform for agent developmentcloud.google.com
  19. pubsonline.informs.org: isre.1100pubsonline.informs.org
AI Product Moat Research Note