Research Note

Autonomous Vehicle Safety Comparison Framework

A safety comparison must align the system and version, automation state, operational design domain, geography, road types, time, weather, exposure, outcome definition, se

Aug 4, 20261 min readBy Dalton Anderson
In this article

Autonomous Vehicle Safety Comparison Framework

A safety comparison must align the system and version, automation state, operational design domain, geography, road types, time, weather, exposure, outcome definition, severity, crash involvement or fault basis, reporting threshold, data source, observation window, human benchmark, adjustments, uncertainty, and exclusions.

NHTSA warns that Standing General Order incident counts are not normalized by fleet size, miles, or ODD and that reporting entities have different access to crash information. Raw counts cannot rank entities.

Company data hubs can provide methods and downloadable data, but they remain company-authored evidence. Reproducibility, benchmark alignment, sensitivity analysis, and independent statistical review remain necessary.

Sources

Follow the evidence.

  1. youtu.be: NJfXqTyjSXcyoutu.be
  2. ncsl.org: enncsl.org
  3. nhtsa.gov: automated vehicles safetynhtsa.gov
  4. news.gm.com: 1210 gmnews.gm.com
  5. news.gm.com: 0204 cruisenews.gm.com
  6. nhtsa.gov: special crash investigations scinhtsa.gov
  7. nhtsa.gov: consent order cruise crash reportingnhtsa.gov
  8. waymo.com: waymo safety impact update 170mwaymo.com
  9. cpuc.ca.gov: autonomous vehicle program permits issuedcpuc.ca.gov
  10. nhtsa.gov: standing general order crash reportingnhtsa.gov
  11. nhtsa.gov: voluntary safety self assessmentnhtsa.gov
  12. dmv.ca.gov: autonomous vehiclesdmv.ca.gov
  13. nhtsa.gov: event data recordernhtsa.gov
  14. zoox.com: communityzoox.com
  15. ntsb.gov: Vehicle Automations Investigative Outcomesntsb.gov
  16. waymo.com: impactwaymo.com
  17. content.naic.org: autonomous vehiclescontent.naic.org
  18. tesla.com: fsdtesla.com
  19. nhtsa.gov: crash report sampling systemnhtsa.gov
  20. open.spotify.com: 75DDtIhd8Hazz8fhBuZgn4open.spotify.com
  21. zoox.com: zoox service updates and expansionszoox.com
  22. daltonanderson.ghost.io: the bumpy road to self driving cars whos winningdaltonanderson.ghost.io

From this episode

Two useful next steps.

Research Note · 1 min

US Automated Vehicle Industry Status Record

The record unit is not a company. It is a named system and vehicle under a dated permit or authority, service type, operator role, operational design domain, jurisdiction

Guide · 1 min

How to Read Autonomous-Vehicle Safety Claims

Evaluate robotaxi and automated-driving safety claims by aligning systems, domains, miles, outcomes, reporting thresholds, benchmarks, uncertainty, and sources.

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