Research Note

Dot-Com and AI Disruption Research Note

The durable comparison separates technology adoption, company value capture, and asset price.

Aug 4, 20261 min readBy Dalton Anderson
In this article

Dot-Com and AI Disruption Research Note

The durable comparison separates technology adoption, company value capture, and asset price.

The NBER study of internet stock pricing documents prices high relative to fundamentals and a market mechanism involving optimistic investors, short-sale constraints, and increasing sellers. FRED's Nasdaq Composite preserves the price series.

The Census Bureau estimated fourth-quarter 1999 retail e-commerce at 0.6 percent of retail, while its first-quarter 2026 estimate was 16.9 percent. BLS reports that high-tech employment took until 2013 to regain its 2000 level.

The historical record supports continued adoption after a crash. It does not predict an AI crash, timing, company survival, or investment return.

Sources

Follow the evidence.

  1. NIST AI RMF Measure guidanceairc.nist.gov
  2. human-AI interaction appendixairc.nist.gov
  3. current leadership pageen-us.thebigword.com
  4. Companies Housefind-and-update.company-information.service.gov.uk
  5. FRED's Nasdaq Composite seriesfred.stlouisfed.org
  6. WordSynk 2.0 support noticesupport.thebigword.com
  7. official WordSynk pagethebigword.com
  8. high-tech employment analysisbls.gov
  9. 2026 AI business-use analysiscensus.gov
  10. early e-commerce measurement recordcensus.gov
  11. current retail e-commerce releasecensus.gov
  12. tabletop exercise packagecisa.gov
  13. 2025 to 2026 funding rulesgov.uk
  14. privately funded apprenticeship guidancegov.uk
  15. provider guide to delivering high-quality apprenticeshipsgov.uk
  16. employer guidegov.uk
  17. whole-problem mapping guidancegov.uk
  18. ISO 17100 recordiso.org
  19. Gould's current professional profilelinkedin.com
  20. service-blueprinting guidancelocal.gov.uk
  21. DotCom Manianber.org
  22. NIST: Artificial Intelligence Risk Management Framework, Generative Artificial Intelligence Profilenist.gov
  23. NIST Cybersecurity Framework 2.0nist.gov
  24. AI-washing statementsec.gov
  25. cybersecurity governance and incident-disclosure rulesec.gov

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