Research Note

Wildfire Mitigation Evidence Record

Evaluate a mitigation claim by its mechanism, test or field evidence, property fit, installation, maintenance, interaction with other pathways, official recognition, and

Aug 4, 20262 min readBy Dalton Anderson
In this article

Wildfire Mitigation Evidence Record

Evaluation principle

Evaluate a mitigation claim by its mechanism, test or field evidence, property fit, installation, maintenance, interaction with other pathways, official recognition, and residual risk.

A physical-risk measure, code requirement, program designation, grant condition, underwriting rule, and premium credit are different claims.

Evidence matrix

DimensionRequired record
MechanismEmber, radiant, flame, convection, spread, suppression, or another pathway
EvidenceStandard, laboratory test, field study, post-fire analysis, or expert consensus
ConditionsConstruction, event, specimen, installation, maintenance, and comparator
Property fitBuilding, parcel, neighborhood, local code, and hazard context
InstallationDesign, product, workmanship, inspection, and documentation
MaintenanceCleaning, vegetation, wear, corrosion, movement, replacement, and frequency
InteractionRemaining pathway that can bypass the measure
RecognitionCurrent code, program, grant, authority, insurer, or policy rule
Residual riskWhat the measure does not change

Authoritative starting points

The U.S. Fire Administration explains multiple fire exposures:

https://www.usfa.fema.gov/blog/protecting-structures-from-wildfire-embers-and-fire-exposures/

FEMA provides a structure and defensible-space guide derived from the Marshall Fire:

https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/documents/fema_rsl_marshall-mat-homeowners-guide-to-reducing-wildfire-risk-through-defensible-space_042025.pdf

IBHS maintains the Wildfire Prepared program:

https://wildfireprepared.org/

Decision language

The evidence record should end as supported for the defined use, conditionally supported, unresolved, or rejected. It cannot promise survival, code compliance, insurance availability, premium reduction, claim payment, or a specific return on investment.

Sources

Follow the evidence.

  1. content.naic.org: catastrophe models propertycontent.naic.org
  2. content.naic.org: reinsurancecontent.naic.org
  3. daltonanderson.ghost.io: ca wildfires insurance crisis expert analysisdaltonanderson.ghost.io
  4. ibhs.org: wildfire prepared homeibhs.org
  5. open.spotify.com: 4TTlp65UK2Dl3zYtgkCklsopen.spotify.com
  6. cfpnet.com: key statistics datacfpnet.com
  7. daltonanderson.net: ca wildfires insurance crisis expert analysisdaltonanderson.net
  8. fema.gov: fema rsl marshall mat homeowners guide to reducing wildfire risk through defensible space 042025fema.gov
  9. fire.ca.gov: eaton firefire.ca.gov
  10. fire.ca.gov: palisades firefire.ca.gov
  11. insurance.ca.gov: res ins guideinsurance.ca.gov
  12. insurance.ca.gov: 5 residentialinsurance.ca.gov
  13. insurance.ca.gov: commercialguideinsurance.ca.gov
  14. insurance.ca.gov: 07 lasliinsurance.ca.gov
  15. insurance.ca.gov: Sustainable Insurance Strategyinsurance.ca.gov
  16. insurance.ca.gov: public wildfire modelinsurance.ca.gov
  17. insurance.ca.gov: California FAIR Planinsurance.ca.gov
  18. insurance.ca.gov: release065 2024insurance.ca.gov
  19. insurance.ca.gov: Order No 2025 1 Approving the California FAIR Plan Association s Request to Issue Assessmentinsurance.ca.gov
  20. insurance.ca.gov: release052 2025insurance.ca.gov
  21. insurance.ca.gov: Insurance surge expanding options for Cainsurance.ca.gov
  22. insurance.ca.gov: release005 2026insurance.ca.gov
  23. insurance.ca.gov: release079 2025insurance.ca.gov
  24. podcastrepublic.net: 1494964342podcastrepublic.net
  25. safelease.comsafelease.com
  26. safelease.com: safelease launches facility insurancesafelease.com
  27. usfa.fema.gov: protecting structures from wildfire embers and fire exposuresusfa.fema.gov
  28. youtu.be: BUVy0xxL6tgyoutu.be

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